Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005212 0.005764 0.006362 0.007059 0.007853 0.008731 0.009781
2025-07-20 0.004398 0.005173 0.006079 0.007225 0.008649 0.010376 0.012655
2025-07-27 0.003843 0.004701 0.005754 0.007160 0.009013 0.011408 0.014803
2025-08-03 0.003471 0.004380 0.005539 0.007156 0.009393 0.012448 0.017051
2025-08-10 0.003155 0.004083 0.005306 0.007075 0.009626 0.013276 0.019086
2025-08-17 0.002942 0.003894 0.005188 0.007121 0.010021 0.014357 0.021633
2025-08-24 0.002724 0.003676 0.005002 0.007041 0.010205 0.015125 0.023783
2025-08-31 0.002498 0.003426 0.004746 0.006825 0.010147 0.015490 0.025297
2025-09-07 0.002355 0.003282 0.004630 0.006806 0.010388 0.016358 0.027811
2025-09-14 0.002288 0.003244 0.004665 0.007021 0.011026 0.017967 0.031957
2025-09-21 0.002145 0.003081 0.004496 0.006890 0.011061 0.018512 0.034130
2025-09-28 0.002016 0.002930 0.004333 0.006753 0.011068 0.018998 0.036257
2025-10-05 0.001919 0.002827 0.004247 0.006748 0.011332 0.020046 0.039883
2025-10-12 0.001861 0.002783 0.004253 0.006905 0.011917 0.021815 0.045547
2025-10-19 0.001767 0.002674 0.004142 0.006843 0.012075 0.022739 0.049438
2025-10-26 0.001692 0.002590 0.004067 0.006840 0.012344 0.023930 0.054273
2025-11-02 0.001611 0.002491 0.003960 0.006763 0.012454 0.024787 0.058447
2025-11-09 0.001556 0.002433 0.003918 0.006807 0.012818 0.026269 0.064731
2025-11-16 0.001486 0.002346 0.003819 0.006731 0.012917 0.027148 0.069517
2025-11-23 0.001403 0.002230 0.003662 0.006527 0.012714 0.027268 0.072043
2025-11-30 0.001352 0.002169 0.003600 0.006509 0.012924 0.028445 0.078265
2025-12-07 0.001335 0.002166 0.003645 0.006712 0.013659 0.031093 0.090279
2025-12-14 0.001275 0.002084 0.003537 0.006588 0.013616 0.031667 0.095208